Day one was a tale of two halves here for us at the MWPR. We kicked things off with a nice $16.00 winner in Hit It A Bomb and then keyed Liam’s Map all over the place to hit every bet imaginable in the second BC race. Then it hit the proverbial fan as we were trounced in the Juvenile Fillies Turf and I’m A Chatterbox didn’t run a lick in the distaff.
Over at Hello Race Fans, Ted was able to the early success to a wire to wire lead on the day heading into a tough day 2 today.
Here is our look at Day 2.
Juvenile Fillies (Mile 1/16)
I didn’t get fancy in here – like a few other races today. I think Songbird (10) is the best filly coming into the race and I hope she’ll be the best coming out. I do worry about post position 10 but, like Hit It A Bomb, I think she’s the best and can overcome it especially with career BC wins leader Mike Smith aboard. As a big Rachel Alexandra fan, I would sentimentally be rooting for Rachel’s Valentina but you bet with sentiment and you’ll be broke! (1-7-10; 1-3-7-9-10)
Turf Sprint (5 1/2 F)
The only turf race where I didn’t go with a Euro – mostly because none are running… I’m looking for Pure Sensation (1) to work out a nice stalking trip from the inside and have a nice run at the early leaders from not too far out of it heading into the lane. (3-7-10; 3-5-7-9-10)
Filly & Mare Sprint (7F)
Another stab at the outside, but this one I am MUCH less sure of. As awful as she was in the Davona Dale to start the season, Cavorting (14) has been that good since. I love that she can come off the pace and there should be enough for her to run at late as long as Irad Ortiz can save a little bit of ground and be in a good position to strike on the way home. It may prove to be too tough, but I’m riding her hot streak. (3-4-8; 1-3-4-6-8)
Filly & Mare Turf (Mile 3/16)
Legatissimo (3) comes in with the Euro hype and I’m buying into her. Depending on her odds, it’s unlikely I’ll actually wager and I don’t feel comfortable enough with the others in the field to try and “Liam’s Map” her atop of exactas. (2-3-5; 1-2-3-5)
I will assume Run Happy has some company near the front today with Masochistic and Private Zone which would pave the way for a sprinter who can close and, to me, the best of that bunch is Ivan Fallunovalot. His post position, six, should allow him to get to the rail (Clavin aboard…) and sit behind the leaders unless Limousine Liberal stakes claim to that spot, though abreast of him won’t be a bad position either. (5-6-10; 5-6-9-10-13)
Mile (Mile – Turf)
Esoterique (9) is coming off superb mile victories at Newmarket and Deauville (where she beat up on the boys) in Group 1 company. It looks like he’ll want to keep close tabs on the front runners while trying to run them down late in a turf race cavalry charge. (1-4-9; 1-3-4-7-9)
Juvenile (Mile 1/16)
Going big or going home in here. 30-1 in the morning line, I think that Conquest Big E’s (1) maiden breaker was very professional effort. Brody’s Cause, who E lost to in his career debut, is only 7/2 in the ML and E had a very uncomfortable trip in that one while only losing by 1 1/4. With another race under his belt he should be more seasoned and tractable for Shaun Bridgemohan. Keep an eye on him in the paddock and warming up through – if he looks bothered or worked up, I’d move on. (3-6-9; 3-4-6-9-14)
Turf (Mile 1/2)
Golden Horn. Period. Lost by a neck at York for his only career defeat. Frankie Dettori flying dismount waiting on deck. (1-7-9; 1-4-7-9-10)
Classic (mile 1/4)
Yes, Keen Ice beat him at Saratoga. Yes, Tonalist is the trendy pick off a very strong performance in the Jockey Club Gold Cup. And no, I won’t be betting him at 3/5, but American Pharoah is the pick here. He has a great post draw (4), controlling speed and, with Beholder gone, no one that is going to hamper him early unless Frosted wants that job again (though I think not). Someone may try and go early but he’s going to be too good late. Coronate the king. (1-4-9; 1-4-5-6-9)